Climate emergency

sábado, 7 de enero de 2023

CARRERA DRAMÁTICA PARA FRENAR/ATENUAR EL CALENTAMIENTO GLOBAL (nov 2022 and jan 2023update))

cop27 ended in Egypt: a voice in the desert

planet Climatic Emergency is scaling up as Climatic Catastrophe

 the opening session of the climate summit begun with a harsh statement: 

"We drive towards a climatic catastrophe at full speed"

 (downhill with no brakes, I would add up to)

    In 2015, this was the picture: 'The strangeness of their climate situation filled the Earthmen with increasing disquiet.' That year, everyone enthusiastically admired and applauded the celebration of the Paris Climate Deal, indeed the largest ever world summit celebrated for Climate status in the Planet; the event was fully dedicated to halt the emission to the troposphere of GHG, mainly CO2 the drive of the Global Warming  index increase since the 1970's. On scientists' opinion it is clear that such volume of gasses on the troposphere had an anthropogenic source since Industrial revolution nº 1 begun.

    Ever since, hazardous emissions as such have an indisputable  source of production: the G20 group of States. The so called first-world, come on! Inside that one, a subgroup of economies namely BRICS along were blamed of generating around 42% of total world's hazardous emissions due to the intensive expansion of their economies. Large human population concentrated there, - almost account with nearly half the globe inhabitants-.  It furthermore concentrates huge manufactory and raw matters industries, intense consumers of energy, mostly fossil fuels thus contributing to the Greenhouse type gasses accumulation in the troposphere. Which already surpassed critical level of 400ppp in 2007.

    Now, seven years after the PCD was over, the world is however fully disappoint about. Those BRICS states have been unable not just to reduce their emissions, yet worse came the worse, they have set policies to increase them instead. Therefore, the picture at a global perspective is sad: still up to 70-80% out of the total energy sources originate in fossil sources (natural gas, coil and crude oil).

This is the energy mix of the world in terms of primary sources:




           In the first graph note the consumption expansion of the fossil fuel called 'natural gas.

    Such immense consumption of fossil fuels result in an alarming amount of human emissions of  greenhouse gasses that reflects directly on the temperature increase of the earth surface. The PCD set a NRP at 1.5ºC limit anomaly, as the door to a catastrophic Climate Change. Which strategy shall be the necessary one to achieve such target so solemnly agreed by about 200 States and Governments in 2015?:

very simple, to call a halt of fossil fuels consumption effective in 2050 to curb the threatening increase of the Global Warming.(**)

    In other words, States and Governments with major responsibility in the large volume of emissions of Green House Gases (GHG) must commit curbing their volume of GHG emissions until reaching the United Nations' NETZERO target.

         In this COP 27 celebrated in Egypt it was said anomaly index had reached already 1.3ºC temperature increase (above pre-industrial levels)

       
Conversely, a large number of persons are all proactively making their personal contribution to alleviate the global Warming all over the world, thus palliating a Climate Emergency, sometime far beyond their possibilities: eco-sensible activists, individual contributors, like ourselves, education at all levels members, Universities researchers, scientists, etc. Universities and private Agencies are constantly publishing their finding and most of all, sounding the alarm.

    Meanwhile, UN Agencies, States and Governments (Parties) are delivering to UN Climate Agencies their pledges to which they compromise openly.

'Parties agreed that limiting global warming to 1.5C requires rapid, deep and sustained reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions, reducing them by 45 percent by 2030 relative to the 2019 level. They also recognised that this requires accelerated action in this critical decade, and reiterated the call from the Glasgow Climate Pact for Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to be updated as necessary to align with the Paris Agreement temperature goal, by the end of 2023. They also affirmed that the Glasgow Climate Pact will guide a new Mitigation Work Programme to encourage Parties to align their targets and actions towards net zero.'(https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/IP_22_7064)

Despite significant investments on renewable energies (solar, eolic, etc) made both by public and private organisation, the level of use of fossil fuels is still too large and the red threshold is too close (year 2055).
offshore marine tower to pump off crude oil from bottom of the sea (Norway)

     

        PCD plan execution to phase out fossil fuels usability thus reducing Global Warming has begun with retard due to a too long implementation period of 7 years time.  (COVID interfered as well). In terms of priorities let us closely examine the Transport sector power of contamination index PCIn. This one alone generates about 40% of such total CO2 emissions volume to the troposphere. These derived from TEVs (vehicles that uses thermal engines fed with Gasoline and Diesel with diverse compositions each). 

        It is therefore a priority to concentrate efforts in this line. How? EU plan is to reach a NETZERO emission from mobility sector and the related strategy calls for banning 'thermal engine vehicles', TEV, to circulate inside European territory effective in just 13 more years. Henceforth,  just electrical vehicles (or any other without emission tube, as Vehicles fed with Hydrogen fuel cell will be permitted to circulate inside the European borders. It is the so-called 'FIT for 55' Europe's Commission directive.

        On 14 July 2021 the European Commission adopted the 'fit for 55' package, adapting existing climate and energy legislation to meet the new EU objective of a minimum 55 % reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030. The fit for 55 package is part of the European Green Deal (+)

A directive which, in some experts opinion represents a hard challenge. To overcome this cyclopean transformation of the cars and truck industry, 600.000 jobs are in the middle of this decision

    


 
The TOYOTA Corolla 2023, a new Hydrogen propelling type car

(+) "The revised RED II strengthens these provisions and sets a new EU target of a minimum 40 % share of RES in final energy consumption by 2030, together with new sectoral targets. In the European Parliament, the file has been referred to the Committee for Industry, Research and Energy, with the Committee on the Environment, Public Health and Food Safety as associated committee under Rule 57. Discussions on the file have also begun in the Council of the EU.source: Europarliament

 https://ecojobssiglo21.blogspot.com/2022/11/carrera-dramatica-para-frenaratenuar-el.html

 (**)

OPR7. (published in LinkedIn on December 2015) Paris parties did not agreed due to three major obstacles: BUDGET, DEGREES AND BINDINGS. Meanwhile, limit temperature variation is closer and closer. Experts say 1ºC variation could be just around here to stay. And that 1.5ºC could already bring an atmospheric weather much tougher than what we already suffer (ice  cups losing mass). When Paris deal is set to come into force that situation could be even worse as one scenario  technical already describes (HVV)

 

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